This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 5% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 5% to break even | 0%–35% | 5 points shortwon 0%, needs 5% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 5% to break even | 2%–35% | 5 points betterwon 10%, needs 5% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 119%needs 5% to break even | 2%–32% | 4 points betterwon 9%, needs 5% |
| Last season | 1 of 119%needs 5% to break even | 2%–32% | 4 points betterwon 9%, needs 5% |
| Every game | 1 of 119%needs 5% to break even | 2%–32% | 4 points betterwon 9%, needs 5% |
Tonight TOR plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against EDM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 0 of 6 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Dakota Mermis game, newest first: whether Mermis scored a goal.
This player's other props in the game.
| No goal |
| Lost |
| Nov 22 | No goal | Lost |
| Nov 20 | Scored | Won |
| Nov 18 | No goal | Lost |
| Nov 15 | No goal | Lost |
| Nov 13 | No goal | Lost |
| Nov 5 | No goal | Lost |
| Oct 24 | No goal | Lost |
| +11000at BetRivers |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even0 of 6 on the road |
| All 10 from last season |
| -0.6Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 shots on goalDakota Mermis · Today 7:10 PM ET | +190at BetRivers | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 34% to break even0 of 6 on the road | All 10 from last season | -23.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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