This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 64% to break even | 65%–100% | 36 points betterwon 100%, needs 64% | 4.6total goals |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 64% to break even | 54%–93% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% | 5.2total goals |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 64% to break even | 52%–87% | 9 points betterwon 73%, needs 64% | 5.2total goals |
| This season | 8 of 1080%needs 64% to break even | 54%–93% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% | 5.2total goals |
| Last season | 46 of 8256%needs 64% to break even | 47%–65% | 8 points shortwon 56%, needs 64% | 5.8total goals |
| Every game | 54 of 9259%needs 64% to break even | 50%–67% | 5 points shortwon 59%, needs 64% | 5.7total goals |
Tonight NYI plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 28 of 45 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 1 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 2 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 game total, NYI gamesNew York Islanders · Today 6:10 PM ET | NV+106at Novig | 41 of 82· last season50%needs 49% to break even20 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 6 game total, NYI gamesNew York Islanders · Today 6:10 PM ET | +115at Bovada | 36 of 77· last season47%needs 47% to break even17 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -29.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 6.5 game total, NYI gamesNew York Islanders · Today 6:10 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 39% to break even17 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.