This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 32% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 32% to break even | 44%–95% | 48 points betterwon 80%, needs 32% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 32% to break even | 44%–87% | 38 points betterwon 70%, needs 32% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 32% to break even | 33%–72% | 21 points betterwon 53%, needs 32% |
| This season | 7 of 1164%needs 32% to break even | 39%–82% | 31 points betterwon 64%, needs 32% |
| Last season | 24 of 8130%needs 32% to break even | 22%–39% | 3 points shortwon 30%, needs 32% |
| Every game | 31 of 9234%needs 32% to break even | 26%–42% | 1 points betterwon 34%, needs 32% |
Tonight CAR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against EDM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Shots on goal in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Shots on goal | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 2 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 29 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 shots on goalLogan Stankoven · Today 9:10 PM ET | +110at DraftKings | 25 of 81· last season31%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.