This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 1% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 1% to break even | 5%–56% | 19 points betterwon 20%, needs 1% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 1% to break even | 2%–35% | 9 points betterwon 10%, needs 1% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 1% to break even | 2%–25% | 6 points betterwon 7%, needs 1% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 1% to break even | 4%–50% | 16 points betterwon 17%, needs 1% |
| Last season | 0 of 310%needs 1% to break even | 0%–8% | 1 points shortwon 0%, needs 1% |
| Every game | 1 of 373%needs 1% to break even | 1%–11% | 2 points betterwon 3%, needs 1% |
Tonight CAR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against EDM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Goals in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes anytime goalNicolas Deslauriers · Today 9:10 PM ET | +800at DraftKings | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 11% to break even | -7.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.