This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 30% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 30% to break even | 27%–86% | 30 points betterwon 60%, needs 30% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 30% to break even | 44%–87% | 40 points betterwon 70%, needs 30% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 30% to break even | 33%–72% | 23 points betterwon 53%, needs 30% |
| This season | 6 of 967%needs 30% to break even | 40%–86% | 37 points betterwon 67%, needs 30% |
| Last season | 25 of 8230%needs 30% to break even | 23%–39% | 1 points betterwon 30%, needs 30% |
| Every game | 31 of 9134%needs 30% to break even | 26%–43% | 4 points betterwon 34%, needs 30% |
Tonight EDM plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 16 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 assistsConnor McDavid · Today 9:10 PM ET | +145at DraftKings | 29 of 82· last season35%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.