This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 1% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 1% to break even | 0%–35% | 1 points shortwon 0%, needs 1% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 1% to break even | 0%–21% | 1 points shortwon 0%, needs 1% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 1% to break even | 0%–15% | 1 points shortwon 0%, needs 1% |
| This season | 0 of 80%needs 1% to break even | 0%–25% | 1 points shortwon 0%, needs 1% |
| Last season | 1 of 681%needs 1% to break even | 0%–6% | 1 points betterwon 1%, needs 1% |
| Every game |
Tonight CGY plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Goals in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes anytime goalSimon Nemec |
| 0%–6% |
| 1 points betterwon 1%, needs 1% |
| Date | Opponent | Goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| +950at FanDuel |
| 9 of 68· last season13%needs 10% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 shots on goalSimon Nemec · Today 9:10 PM ET | -120at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 pointsSimon Nemec · Today 9:10 PM ET | -210at BetMGM | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 68% to break even | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsSimon Nemec · Today 9:10 PM ET | +265at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 27% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsSimon Nemec · Today 9:10 PM ET | -325at BetMGM | 56 of 68· last season82%needs 76% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.3Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsSimon Nemec · Today 9:10 PM ET | +200at Fanatics | 21 of 68· last season31%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 shots on goalSimon Nemec · Today 9:10 PM ET | +110at DraftKings | 32 of 68· last season47%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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