This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 42% to break even | 27%–86% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% | 0.8points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 42% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% | 0.5points |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1346%needs 42% to break even | 26%–68% | 4 points betterwon 46%, needs 42% | 0.7points |
| This season | 4 of 944%needs 42% to break even | 22%–70% | 2 points betterwon 44%, needs 42% | 0.6points |
| Last season |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against BUF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 7 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This player's other props in the game.
| 18%–82% |
| 8 points betterwon 50%, needs 42% |
| 1points |
| Every game | 6 of 1346%needs 42% to break even | 26%–68% | 4 points betterwon 46%, needs 42% | 0.7points |
| Oct 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| +4500at DraftKings |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 2% to break even0 of 7 at home |
| -1.6Not beating its price |
| Scores a goalIlya Protas · Today 7:10 PM ET | +430at FanDuel | 1 of 4· last season25%needs 19% to break even1 of 7 at home | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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