This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 55% to break even | 14%–73% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 650%needs 55% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 650%needs 55% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 55% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 3 of 650%needs 55% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% |
Tonight LV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against over 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 rushing yardsMike Washington Jr. |
| 7 |
| -13.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 1 | 41 | +20.5 | Won |
| +109at Kalshi |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 48% to break even |
| -12.8Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 rushing yardsMike Washington Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -111at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 rushing yardsMike Washington Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -110at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 52% to break even | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 rushing yardsMike Washington Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 rushing yardsMike Washington Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -103at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 51% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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