This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 62% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 62% to break even | 19%–65% | 22 points shortwon 40%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 62% to break even | 22%–61% | 22 points shortwon 40%, needs 62% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 62% to break even | 22%–78% | 12 points shortwon 50%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 9 of 2045%needs 62% to break even | 28%–63% | 17 points shortwon 45%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 12 of 26 |
Tonight LAR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against LV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rush attempts in each game against over 13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rush attempts | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 13.5 rush attemptsKyren Williams |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 receptionsKyren Williams |
| 31%–62% |
| 16 points shortwon 46%, needs 62% |
| This season |
| Wk 6 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 16 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 16 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 15 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 21 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 20 | 21 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 19 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 23 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 15 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 25 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 20 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 17 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 18 | +4.5 | Won |
| +114at Kalshi |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 47% to break even |
| -13.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +104at FanDuel |
| 18 of 20· last season90%needs 49% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -5.5Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsKyren Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 16 of 20· last season80%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Under 25.5 receiving yardsKyren Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -110at Fanatics | 16 of 20· last season80%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price |
| Under 26.5 receiving yardsKyren Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 16 of 20· last season80%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Over 64.5 rushing yardsKyren Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDKyren Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 receiving yardsKyren Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -110at BetMGM | 16 of 20· last season80%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Over 63.5 rushing yardsKyren Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 rushing yardsKyren Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
| Over 67.5 rushing yardsKyren Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Over 60.5 rushing yardsKyren Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -135at Fanatics | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsKyren Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 39% to break even | -21.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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