This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 44% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 44% to break even | 13%–56% | 14 points shortwon 30%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 44% to break even | 17%–54% | 10 points shortwon 33%, needs 44% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 44% to break even | 12%–65% | 10 points shortwon 33%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 6 of 1735%needs 44% to break even | 19%–55% | 8 points shortwon 35%, needs 44% |
| Every game |
Tonight LV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rush attempts in each game against under 13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 13.5 rush attemptsAshton Jeanty |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doesn't score a TDAshton Jeanty · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
| 21%–52% |
| 9 points shortwon 35%, needs 44% |
| 10 |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 15 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 21 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 23 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 26 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 24 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 9 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 15 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 6 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 13 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 6 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 23 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 21 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 11 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost |
| -175at Kalshi |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 64% to break even |
| -19.3Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 rush attemptsAshton Jeanty · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -103at Kalshi |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even |
| -7.8Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 receiving yardsAshton Jeanty · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsAshton Jeanty · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 receiving yardsAshton Jeanty · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Under 79.5 rush + rec yardsAshton Jeanty · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.7Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsAshton Jeanty · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 64% to break even | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 rushing yardsAshton Jeanty · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 38% to break even | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 receptionsAshton Jeanty · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +100at BetMGM | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.2Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 rushing yardsAshton Jeanty · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 rushing yardsAshton Jeanty · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsAshton Jeanty · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 37% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 receptionsAshton Jeanty · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.