This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 50% to break even | 44%–95% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 50% to break even | 44%–87% | 20 points betterwon 70%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 50% to break even | 33%–72% | 4 points betterwon 53%, needs 50% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 50% to break even | 50%–96% | 34 points betterwon 83%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 3 of 1030%needs 50% to break even | 13%–56% | 20 points shortwon 30%, needs 50% |
Tonight LV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Passing TDs in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 passing TDsKirk Cousins · |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 rushing yardsKirk Cousins |
| Every game | 8 of 1650%needs 50% to break even | 31%–69% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| 2 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 3 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| -131at Kalshi |
| 7 of 10· last season70%needs 57% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -27.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -148at FanDuel |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 60% to break even |
| -0.4Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 completionsKirk Cousins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last season90%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.7Not beating its price |
| Under 35.5 pass attemptsKirk Cousins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last season90%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 249.5 passing yardsKirk Cousins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last season90%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Over 233.5 passing yardsKirk Cousins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Under 224.5 passing yardsKirk Cousins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 238.5 passing yardsKirk Cousins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Over 236.5 passing yardsKirk Cousins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Over 242.5 passing yardsKirk Cousins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 interceptions thrownKirk Cousins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Under 238.5 passing yardsKirk Cousins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 9 of 10· last season90%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Over 274.5 passing yardsKirk Cousins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 34% to break even | -18.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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