This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1457%needs 53% to break even | 36%–76% | 5 points betterwon 57%, needs 53% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 53% to break even | 35%–88% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 4 of 850%needs 53% to break even | 25%–75% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
Tonight GB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 50.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsTucker Kraft |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDTucker Kraft · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
| Every game | 8 of 1457%needs 53% to break even | 36%–76% | 5 points betterwon 57%, needs 53% |
| 42 |
| +8.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 3 | 26 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 15 | +35.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 65 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 9 | 20 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 143 | -92.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 58 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 43 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 56 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 29 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 124 | -73.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 16 | +34.5 | Won |
| -199at Kalshi |
| 8 of 14· last 15 games, 1 skipped57%needs 67% to break even |
| -27.3Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 receiving yardsTucker Kraft · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -113at BetRivers | 4 of 8· last season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.9Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 receiving yardsTucker Kraft · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -111at BetMGM | 4 of 8· last season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsTucker Kraft · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 8· last season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.0Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 receiving yardsTucker Kraft · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 4 of 8· last season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.9Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 receiving yardsTucker Kraft · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 4 of 14· last 15 games, 1 skipped29%needs 41% to break even | -22.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +173at Kalshi |
| 5 of 8· last season63%needs 37% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.1Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 receptionsTucker Kraft · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 4 of 8· last season50%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsTucker Kraft · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +102at BetRivers | 7 of 14· last 15 games, 1 skipped50%needs 50% to break even | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 receptionsTucker Kraft · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 3 of 14· last 15 games, 1 skipped21%needs 35% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsTucker Kraft · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 7 of 14· last 15 games, 1 skipped50%needs 53% to break even | -21.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.