This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 53% to break even | 22%–61% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 4 of 1429%needs 53% to break even | 14%–51% | 24 points shortwon 29%, needs 53% |
| Every game |
Tonight DET plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 | 0 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsIsaac TeSlaa |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 receptionsIsaac TeSlaa |
| 21%–56% |
| 16 points shortwon 37%, needs 53% |
| 95 |
| +71.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 3 | 66 | +42.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 26 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 0 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 18 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 49 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 52 | +28.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 0 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 35 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 0 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 0 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 11 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 0 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 12 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 0 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 29 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 13 | -10.5 | Lost |
| +166at Kalshi |
| 8 of 14· last season57%needs 38% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 receiving yardsIsaac TeSlaa · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsIsaac TeSlaa · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +115at Bovada |
| 10 of 14· last season71%needs 47% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -12.0Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsIsaac TeSlaa · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 58% to break even | -25.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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