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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Geno Smith over 9.5 rushing yards
Won2 of 5last 5 games · 40%
Best price+140Kalshi
Price needs41.7%wins to break even
Every game6 of 21this season and last
Trend score-25.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 42% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 42% to break even | 7%–46% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 42% to break even | 8%–41% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 42% to break even | 12%–65% | 8 points shortwon 33%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 4 of 1527%needs 42% to break even | 13%–48% | 15 points shortwon 27%, needs 42% |
| Every game |
Games like tonight
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Geno Smith over 9.5 rushing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  NE | -1 | -10.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 rushing yardsGeno Smith · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
More on Geno Smith in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20.5 completionsGeno Smith |
