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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Mason Taylor under 23.5 receiving yards
Won7 of 13last season · 54%
Best price-118BetRivers
Price needs54.1%wins to break even
Every game8 of 16this season and last
Trend score-25.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 54% to break even | 14%–73% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 54% to break even | 19%–65% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 54% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 54% |
| This season | 1 of 333%needs 54% to break even | 8%–75% | 21 points shortwon 33%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 54% to break even | 32%–74% | evenwon 54%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 8 of 1650%needs 54% to break even | 31%–69% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Mason Taylor under 23.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  NE | 33 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  CLE | 24 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  TEN | -2 | +25.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 14 |  MIA | 51 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  ATL | 21 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  BAL | 21 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | NE | 30 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | CLE | 4 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  CIN | 34 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  CAR | 31 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  DEN | 2 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  DAL | 67 | -43.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | MIA | 65 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  TB | 18 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  BUF | 5 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  PIT | 20 | +3.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 receiving yardsMason Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -9.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 22.5 receiving yardsMason Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -115at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -18.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 23.5 receiving yardsMason Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -122at BetRivers | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 55% to break even | -19.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Mason Taylor in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 receptionsMason Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  +146at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 41% to break even | -16.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 receptionsMason Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 59% to break even | -16.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 receptionsMason Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +122at FanDuel | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 receptionsMason Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -173at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 63% to break even | -24.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.