This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 39% to break even | 5%–56% | 19 points shortwon 20%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 617%needs 39% to break even | 4%–50% | 22 points shortwon 17%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 617%needs 39% to break even | 4%–50% | 22 points shortwon 17%, needs 39% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 39% to break even | 4%–50% | 22 points shortwon 17%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 1 of 617%needs 39% to break even | 4%–50% | 22 points shortwon 17%, needs 39% |
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 29.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsKenyon Sadiq · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -6.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 20.5 receiving yardsKenyon Sadiq · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at BetRivers | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -7.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 21.5 receiving yardsKenyon Sadiq · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 5 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped83%needs 53% to break even | -3.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsKenyon Sadiq · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 5 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped83%needs 60% to break even | -6.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 receptionsKenyon Sadiq · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 61% to break even | -12.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 receptionsKenyon Sadiq · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 37% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 receptionsKenyon Sadiq · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +130at BetOnline | 2 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped33%needs 43% to break even | -19.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.