This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 250%needs 53% to break even | 12%–88% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 56.5receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 250%needs 53% to break even | 12%–88% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 56.5receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 250%needs 53% to break even | 12%–88% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 56.5receiving yards |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 53% to break even | 12%–88% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 56.5receiving yards |
| Every game | 1 of 250%needs 53% to break even | 12%–88% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 56.5receiving yards |
Tonight MIA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against NYJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: NYJ allows 135.2 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 9th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How NYJ defends wide receivers
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 32.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsCaleb Douglas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -188at FanDuel | – | Too few games | ||
| Over 29.5 receiving yardsCaleb Douglas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | – | Too few games | ||
| Over 31.5 receiving yardsCaleb Douglas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -129at BetRivers | – | Too few games | ||
| Over 32.5 receiving yardsCaleb Douglas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | – | Too few games | ||
| Over 33.5 receiving yardsCaleb Douglas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | – | Too few games | ||
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsCaleb Douglas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +130at FanDuel | – | Too few games | ||
| Over 43.5 receiving yardsCaleb Douglas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +117at BetOnline | – | Too few games | ||
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsCaleb Douglas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +206at DraftKings | – | Too few games | ||
| Over 53.5 receiving yardsCaleb Douglas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +156at BetOnline | – | Too few games |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptionsCaleb Douglas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | – | Too few games | ||
| Under 2.5 receptionsCaleb Douglas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +105at BetMGM | – | Too few games | ||
| Scores a TDCaleb Douglas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +425at DraftKings | – | Too few games | ||
| Over 3.5 receptionsCaleb Douglas · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +220at FanDuel | – | Too few games |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.