This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 250%needs 53% to break even | 12%–88% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 250%needs 53% to break even | 12%–88% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 250%needs 53% to break even | 12%–88% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 53% to break even | 12%–88% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 1 of 250%needs 53% to break even | 12%–88% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
Tonight MIA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against NYJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 36.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 35.5 receiving yardsCaleb Douglas |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptionsCaleb Douglas |
| -110at DraftKings |
| – |
| Too few games |
| Under 36.5 receiving yardsCaleb Douglas · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | – | Too few games |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -133at DraftKings |
| – |
| Too few games |
| Under 2.5 receptionsCaleb Douglas · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +112at FanDuel | – | Too few games |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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