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NFLPlayer propAnytime TD
Tim Patrick scores a TD
Won3 of 14last season · 21%
Best price+1300FanDuel
Price needs7.1%wins to break even
Every game3 of 16this season and last
Trend score-0.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 7% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 7% to break even | 0%–35% | 7 points shortwon 0%, needs 7% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 7% to break even | 7%–46% | 13 points betterwon 20%, needs 7% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 7% to break even | 8%–41% | 13 points betterwon 20%, needs 7% |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 7% to break even | 0%–58% | 7 points shortwon 0%, needs 7% |
| Last season | 3 of 1421%needs 7% to break even | 9%–43% | 14 points betterwon 21%, needs 7% |
| Every game | 3 of 1619%needs 7% to break even | 8%–39% | 12 points betterwon 19%, needs 7% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 9 at home. Tonight: MIA allows 0.4 touchdowns a game to wide receivers, the 2nd fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How MIA defends wide receivers
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Tim Patrick scores a TD8 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Every Tim Patrick game, newest first: whether Patrick scored a touchdown.
