This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 19% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 250%needs 19% to break even | 12%–88% | 31 points betterwon 50%, needs 19% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 250%needs 19% to break even | 12%–88% | 31 points betterwon 50%, needs 19% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 250%needs 19% to break even | 12%–88% | 31 points betterwon 50%, needs 19% |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 19% to break even | 12%–88% | 31 points betterwon 50%, needs 19% |
| Every game | 1 of 250%needs 19% to break even | 12%–88% | 31 points betterwon 50%, needs 19% |
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: MIA allows 0.4 touchdowns a game to wide receivers, the 2nd fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How MIA defends wide receivers
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Every Omar Cooper Jr. game, newest first: whether Cooper scored a touchdown.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.