This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 55% to break even | 0%–35% | 55 points shortwon 0%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 55% to break even | 2%–35% | 45 points shortwon 10%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 55% to break even | 5%–33% | 41 points shortwon 13%, needs 55% |
| This season | 0 of 40%needs 55% to break even | 0%–40% | 55 points shortwon 0%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 2 of 1613%needs 55% to break even | 4%–32% | 42 points shortwon 13%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 2 of 2010%needs 55% to break even | 3%–26% | 45 points shortwon 10%, needs 55% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 9 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 11 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 20 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 22 | 10 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 20 | 14 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 19 | 0 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 11 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 34 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 39 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 0 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 20 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 38 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 11 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 24 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 28 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 38 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 10 | -5.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 receiving yardsAustin Hooper · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | 10.8Strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 receptionsAustin Hooper · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.7Good | |
| Under 0.5 receptionsAustin Hooper · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 51% to break even | -38.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.