This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% | 3.2extra points made |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 2.7extra points made |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 53% to break even | 39%–78% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 3extra points made |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 53% to break even | 50%–96% | 31 points betterwon 83%, needs 53% | 3.2extra points made |
| Last season | 4 of 1625%needs 53% to break even | 12%–45% | 28 points shortwon 25%, needs 53% | 2.3extra points made |
| Every game | 9 of 2241%needs 53% to break even | 26%–58% | 12 points shortwon 41%, needs 53% | 2.5extra points made |
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 11 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Extra points made in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Extra points made | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 extra points madeEddy Pineiro · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 53% to break even7 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 field goals madeEddy Pineiro · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +125at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 44% to break even3 of 11 on the road | -1.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 8.5 kicking pointsEddy Pineiro · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -133at DraftKings | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 57% to break even5 of 11 on the road | -5.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 8.5 kicking pointsEddy Pineiro · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +104at DraftKings | 7 of 16· last season44%needs 49% to break even6 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -30.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 field goals madeEddy Pineiro · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -155at BetMGM | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 61% to break even8 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -34.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 7.5 kicking pointsEddy Pineiro · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -141at BetRivers | 9 of 16· last season56%needs 59% to break even7 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -36.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.