This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 9% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 9% to break even | 0%–35% | 9 points shortwon 0%, needs 9% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 9% to break even | 0%–21% | 9 points shortwon 0%, needs 9% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 9% to break even | 2%–25% | 2 points shortwon 7%, needs 9% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 9% to break even | 0%–31% | 9 points shortwon 0%, needs 9% |
| Last season | 2 of 1513%needs 9% to break even | 5%–33% | 4 points betterwon 13%, needs 9% |
| Every game |
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 13 on the road. Tonight: ATL allows 0.7 touchdowns a game to tight ends, the 11th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.5): an easy matchup for this bet. How ATL defends tight ends
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Luke Farrell game, newest first: whether Farrell scored a touchdown.
| 3%–25% |
| evenwon 10%, needs 9% |
| No TD |
| Lost |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 20 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 19 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 16 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 13 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 12 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 11 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 9 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 8 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 7 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
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