This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 52% to break even | 28%–67% | 5 points shortwon 47%, needs 52% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 52% to break even | 35%–88% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 9 of 1850%needs 52% to break even | 32%–68% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 13 of 2454%needs 52% to break even | 38%–70% | 2 points betterwon 54%, needs 52% |
Tonight GB plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 46.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 46.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GB to win moneylineGreen Bay Packers · Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 PM ET |
| 36 |
| +10.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | 38 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 31 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 24 | 49 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 37 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 61 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 10 | 58 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 19 | +27.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | 65 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | 38 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 60 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | 49 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 27 | 55 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 29 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 47 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | 17 | +29.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 29 | +17.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 60 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 50 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | 45 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 80 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 23 | +23.5 | Won |
| Sep 11 | 45 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 40 | +6.5 | Won |
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 52% to break even |
| -24.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 60% to break even |
| -22.6Not beating its price |
| GB -3 spreadGreen Bay Packers · Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 PM ET | -105at DraftKings | 9 of 18· last season50%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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