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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
KC Concepcion over 39.5 receiving yards
Won2 of 6last 10 games · 33%
Best price-107Kalshi
Price needs51.7%wins to break even
Every game2 of 6this season and last
Trend score-23.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 52% to break even | 5%–56% | 32 points shortwon 20%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 633%needs 52% to break even | 12%–65% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 633%needs 52% to break even | 12%–65% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 52% to break even | 12%–65% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 2 of 633%needs 52% to break even | 12%–65% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
KC Concepcion over 39.5 receiving yards5 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 39.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 38.5 receiving yardsKC Concepcion · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -114at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -8.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsKC Concepcion · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -115at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on KC Concepcion in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptionsKC Concepcion · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped67%needs 53% to break even | -11.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 4.5 receptionsKC Concepcion · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  +100at BetRivers | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 50% to break even | -20.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.