This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 55% to break even | 14%–73% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 55% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 55% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points shortwon 47%, needs 55% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 55% to break even | 14%–73% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 55% to break even | 29%–66% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 10 of 2245%needs 55% to break even | 29%–62% | 9 points shortwon 45%, needs 55% |
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 69 | -45.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 19 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 36 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 26 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 17 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 54 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 12 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 22 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 76 | -52.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 26 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 39 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 21 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 78 | -54.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 0 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 17 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 43 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 15 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 48 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 17 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 51 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 66 | -42.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsJerry Jeudy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even | -12.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 22.5 receiving yardsJerry Jeudy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 23.5 receiving yardsJerry Jeudy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -111at BetMGM | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptionsJerry Jeudy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 receptionsJerry Jeudy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 61% to break even | -1.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 receptionsJerry Jeudy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at FanDuel | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 40% to break even | -27.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 receptionsJerry Jeudy · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -172at BetOnline | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.