This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 50.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsDenzel Boston · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -121at Kalshi | 3 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped50%needs 55% to break even | -19.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 50.5 receiving yardsDenzel Boston · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -110at DraftKings | 3 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped50%needs 52% to break even | -18.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 51.5 receiving yardsDenzel Boston · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 3 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped50%needs 53% to break even | -18.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 53.5 receiving yardsDenzel Boston · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -115at BetMGM | 3 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped50%needs 53% to break even | -18.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 receptionsDenzel Boston · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -140at BetMGM | 4 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped67%needs 58% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3.5 receptionsDenzel Boston · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +115at Bovada | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 47% to break even | -18.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.