This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 6kicking points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 52% to break even | 13%–56% | 22 points shortwon 30%, needs 52% | 6.1kicking points |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 52% to break even | 22%–61% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 6.1kicking points |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 52% to break even | 12%–65% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% | 5.7kicking points |
| Last season | 9 of 1656%needs 52% to break even | 36%–74% | 4 points betterwon 56%, needs 52% | 6.9kicking points |
| Every game | 11 of 2250%needs 52% to break even | 33%–67% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% | 6.5kicking points |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 12 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Kicking points in each game against over 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Kicking points | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 14 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 14 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 kicking pointsJoey Slye · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -118at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 54% to break even5 of 12 at home | -16.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 field goals madeJoey Slye · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -105at DraftKings | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even5 of 12 at home | -11.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 extra points madeJoey Slye · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +102at DraftKings | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 50% to break even6 of 12 at home | -20.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 extra points madeJoey Slye · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -130at DraftKings | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 57% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -21.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 field goals madeJoey Slye · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at BetMGM | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 55% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -29.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.