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This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 4% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 4% to break even | 0%–35% | 4 points shortwon 0%, needs 4% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 4% to break even | 0%–21% | 4 points shortwon 0%, needs 4% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 4% to break even | 0%–15% | 4 points shortwon 0%, needs 4% |
| This season | 0 of 40%needs 4% to break even | 0%–40% | 4 points shortwon 0%, needs 4% |
| Last season | 1 of 205%needs 4% to break even | 1%–20% | 1 points betterwon 5%, needs 4% |
| Every game | 1 of 244%needs 4% to break even | 1%–17% | evenwon 4%, needs 4% |
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Michael Carter game, newest first: whether Carter scored a touchdown.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 18 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 1 TD | Won | |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost | |