This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 11% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 11% to break even | 14%–73% | 29 points betterwon 40%, needs 11% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 633%needs 11% to break even | 12%–65% | 22 points betterwon 33%, needs 11% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 633%needs 11% to break even | 12%–65% | 22 points betterwon 33%, needs 11% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 11% to break even | 27%–100% | 89 points betterwon 100%, needs 11% |
| Last season | 1 of 520%needs 11% to break even | 5%–56% |
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: TEN allows 0.7 touchdowns a game to running backs, the 8th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How TEN defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Audric Estime game, newest first: whether Estime scored a touchdown.
| Every game | 2 of 633%needs 11% to break even | 12%–65% | 22 points betterwon 33%, needs 11% |
| No TD |
| Lost |
| Wk 14 | No TD | Lost |
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