This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% | lost by 6.4points |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 46% to break even | 7%–46% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% | lost by 8.3points |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 46% to break even | 8%–41% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% | lost by 7.9points |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 46% to break even | 4%–50% | 29 points shortwon 17%, needs 46% | lost by 7.5points |
| Last season | 3 of 1718% |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 12 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against TEN to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 40.5 game total, TEN gamesTennessee Titans · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |
| 7%–37% |
| 28 points shortwon 18%, needs 46% |
| lost by 11.4points |
| Every game | 4 of 2317%needs 46% to break even | 8%–34% | 28 points shortwon 17%, needs 46% | lost by 10.4points |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -23 | -23 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | -34 | -34 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | -22 | -22 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -24 | -24 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | -18 | -18 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | -26 | -26 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | -21 | -21 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| +149at Polymarket |
| 11 of 17· last season65%needs 40% to break even7 of 12 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -4.6Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 2nd quarter totalTennessee Titans · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 48% to break even8 of 12 at home | -6.5Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 game total, TEN gamesTennessee Titans · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 36% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 2nd quarter totalTennessee Titans · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 36% to break even6 of 12 at home | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 game total, TEN gamesTennessee Titans · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 44% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Over 38.5 game total, TEN gamesTennessee Titans · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 46% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -9.6Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalTennessee Titans · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 58% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -10.0Not beating its price |
| TEN -2.5 4th quarter spreadTennessee Titans · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 40% to break even3 of 12 at home | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 1st half totalTennessee Titans · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 38% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 1st half totalTennessee Titans · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 41% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Under 8.5 1st half team totalTennessee Titans · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 game total, TEN gamesTennessee Titans · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | NV+108at Novig | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 48% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -11.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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