This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 250%needs 64% to break even | 12%–88% | 14 points shortwon 50%, needs 64% | 2.5receptions |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 250%needs 64% to break even | 12%–88% | 14 points shortwon 50%, needs 64% | 2.5receptions |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 250%needs 64% to break even | 12%–88% | 14 points shortwon 50%, needs 64% | 2.5receptions |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 64% to break even | 12%–88% | 14 points shortwon 50%, needs 64% | 2.5receptions |
| Every game | 1 of 250% |
Tonight BAL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: CIN allows 9.8 receptions a game to wide receivers, the 8th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 11.5): a tough matchup for this bet. How CIN defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TD |
| 12%–88% |
| 14 points shortwon 50%, needs 64% |
| 2.5receptions |
| +146at Kalshi |
| – |
| Too few games |
| Under 2.5 receptionsJa'Kobi Lane · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Jackson (QB) | -161at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +456at Kalshi |
| – |
| Too few games |
| Over 29.5 receiving yardsJa'Kobi Lane · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Jackson (QB) | +146at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
| Under 29.5 receiving yardsJa'Kobi Lane · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Jackson (QB) | -191at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsJa'Kobi Lane · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Jackson (QB) | +105at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsJa'Kobi Lane · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Jackson (QB) | -131at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsJa'Kobi Lane · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Jackson (QB) | -121at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsJa'Kobi Lane · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Jackson (QB) | +101at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsJa'Kobi Lane · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Jackson (QB) | +159at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.