This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 62% to break even | 14%–73% | 22 points shortwon 40%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 62% to break even | 27%–73% | 12 points shortwon 50%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 62% to break even | 33%–72% | 8 points shortwon 53%, needs 62% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 62% to break even | 14%–73% | 22 points shortwon 40%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 11 of 1573%needs 62% to break even | 52%–87% | 12 points betterwon 73%, needs 62% |
| Every game |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 receiving yardsSamaje Perine |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 receptionsSamaje Perine |
| 47%–80% |
| 3 points betterwon 65%, needs 62% |
| 0 |
| +9.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 3 | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 30 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 1 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 15 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 2 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| -114at FanDuel |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even |
| -20.5Not beating its price |
| Over 8.5 receiving yardsSamaje Perine · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -104at DraftKings | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 51% to break even | -22.6Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsSamaje Perine · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 47% to break even | -19.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +118at DraftKings |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 46% to break even |
| -7.9Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 rushing yardsSamaje Perine · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 52% to break even | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 rushing yardsSamaje Perine · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 47% to break even | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 rushing yardsSamaje Perine · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 rushing yardsSamaje Perine · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -111at BetOnline | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -19.1Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 rushing yardsSamaje Perine · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 rushing yardsSamaje Perine · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even | -21.4Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 rushing yardsSamaje Perine · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 58% to break even | -21.9Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsSamaje Perine · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 35% to break even | -24.3Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 rushing yardsSamaje Perine · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 55% to break even | -25.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsSamaje Perine · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 57% to break even | -29.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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