This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 42% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% | 28.2receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 540%needs 42% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% | 28.2receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 540%needs 42% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% | 28.2receiving yards |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 42% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% | 28.2receiving yards |
| Every game | 2 of 540%needs 42% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% | 28.2receiving yards |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: BAL allows 175.7 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 6th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How BAL defends wide receivers
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsDohnte Meyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 42% to break even | -18.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 13.5 receiving yardsDohnte Meyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 53% to break even | -19.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsDohnte Meyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 51% to break even | -18.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 15.5 receiving yardsDohnte Meyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 53% to break even | -19.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsDohnte Meyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 62% to break even | -17.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDDohnte Meyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +490at Kalshi | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 17% to break even | -8.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 receptionsDohnte Meyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +205at Caesars | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 33% to break even | -9.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 receptionsDohnte Meyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -123at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 55% to break even | -14.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 receptionsDohnte Meyers · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 47% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.