This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 3% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 3% to break even | 0%–35% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 3% to break even | 0%–21% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 3% to break even | 0%–15% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| This season | 0 of 30%needs 3% to break even | 0%–47% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| Last season | 0 of 120%needs 3% to break even | 0%–18% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| Every game | 0 of 150%needs 3% to break even | 0%–15% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 0 of 7 on the road. Tonight: BAL allows 0.8 touchdowns a game to running backs, the 15th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9). How BAL defends running backs
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Every Tahj Brooks game, newest first: whether Brooks scored a touchdown.