This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 2% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 2% to break even | 0%–35% | 2 points shortwon 0%, needs 2% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 2% to break even | 2%–35% | 8 points betterwon 10%, needs 2% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 2% to break even | 2%–25% | 5 points betterwon 7%, needs 2% |
| This season | 0 of 50%needs 2% to break even | 0%–35% | 2 points shortwon 0%, needs 2% |
| Last season | 1 of 157%needs 2% to break even | 2%–25% | 5 points betterwon 7%, needs 2% |
| Every game |
Tonight BAL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 0 of 9 at home. Tonight: CIN allows 0.6 touchdowns a game to running backs, the 6th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How CIN defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Rasheen Ali game, newest first: whether Ali scored a touchdown.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Wk 6 | |||
| 1 of 205%needs 2% to break even |
| 1%–20% |
| 3 points betterwon 5%, needs 2% |
| No TD |
| Lost |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 18 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 16 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 14 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 13 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 11 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 9 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 8 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
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