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NFLPlayer propAnytime TD
Mitchell Tinsley scores a TD
Won2 of 8last season · 25%
Best price+1241Kalshi
Price needs7.5%wins to break even
Every game2 of 9this season and last
Trend score-0.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 7% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 7% to break even | 5%–56% | 13 points betterwon 20%, needs 7% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 922%needs 7% to break even | 8%–50% | 15 points betterwon 22%, needs 7% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 922%needs 7% to break even | 8%–50% | 15 points betterwon 22%, needs 7% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 7% to break even | 0%–73% | 7 points shortwon 0%, needs 7% |
| Last season | 2 of 825%needs 7% to break even | 9%–54% | 18 points betterwon 25%, needs 7% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: BAL allows 0.5 touchdowns a game to wide receivers, the 7th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How BAL defends wide receivers
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Mitchell Tinsley scores a TD8 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Every Mitchell Tinsley game, newest first: whether Tinsley scored a touchdown.
