This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 44% to break even | 27%–86% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 44% to break even | 27%–73% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 44% to break even | 39%–78% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 44% to break even | 22%–78% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 9 of 1850%needs 44% to break even | 32%–68% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 12 of 2450%needs 44% to break even | 34%–66% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 41.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 41.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI +3.5 1st half spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET |
| 39 |
| +2.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | 36 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 44 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 34 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 44 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 46 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 11 | 42 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 41 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 | 25 | +16.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | 47 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 31 | +10.5 | Won |
| Dec 8 | 41 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | 39 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 45 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | 25 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | 17 | +24.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 58 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 50 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 9 | 51 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 38 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 56 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 59 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 37 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 44 | -2.5 | Lost |
| 9 of 18· last season50%needs 62% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -30.9Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 8 of 18· last season44%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 8 of 18· last season44%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.2Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | NV+104at Novig | 7 of 18· last season39%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.7Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 6 of 18· last season33%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.3Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 6 of 18· last season33%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.5Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 5 of 18· last season28%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.5Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 18· last season22%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 57% to break even |
| 10.0Strong |
| PHI +0.5 2nd quarter spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | 7.9Good |
| PHI +4.5 1st half spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 63% to break even | 7.8Good |
| PHI +1.5 2nd quarter spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | 6.3Good |
| PHI +2.5 2nd quarter spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | 5.4Good |
| PHI +6.5 1st half spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 67% to break even | 4.6Good |
| PHI +3.5 2nd quarter spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 66% to break even | 1.7Slight |
| PHI -0.5 2nd quarter spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.2Slight |
| PHI -2.5 1st half spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 34% to break even | 0.3Slight |
| Under 6.5 3rd quarter totalPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 34% to break even | 0.3Slight |
| Under 7.5 1st quarter totalPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -1.8Not beating its price |
| PHI -0.5 1st half spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 38% to break even | -2.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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