This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 45% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 45% to break even | 19%–65% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 45% to break even | 17%–54% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 45% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 4 of 1822%needs 45% to break even | 10%–41% | 22 points shortwon 22%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 7 of 2429%needs 45% to break even | 17%–46% | 15 points shortwon 29%, needs 45% |
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2Q total points in each game against over 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2Q total points | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 24 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 20 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 11 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 0 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 27 | +12.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 2nd quarter totalPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 10 of 18· last season56%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 13.5 2nd quarter totalPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 12 of 18· last season67%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 14.5 2nd quarter totalPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 14 of 18· last season78%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.