This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 50% to break even | 35%–81% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 50% to break even | 39%–78% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 50% to break even | 22%–78% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 9 of 1850%needs 50% to break even | 32%–68% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 12 of 2450%needs 50% to break even | 34%–66% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
PHI points in each game against under 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | PHI points | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 7 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 11 | 19 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 29 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 31 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 19 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 15 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 16 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 38 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 28 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 31 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 33 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 team totalPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 11 of 18· last season61%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 team totalPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 9 of 18· last season50%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 20.5 team totalPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 18· last season44%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 21.5 team totalPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 7 of 18· last season39%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.