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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Dallas Goedert over 39.5 receiving yards
Won4 of 10last 10 games · 40%
Best price-112Kalshi
Price needs52.8%wins to break even
Every game7 of 20this season and last
Trend score-28.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 53% to break even | 19%–65% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 53% to break even | 17%–54% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| This season | 2 of 450%needs 53% to break even | 18%–82% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 5 of 1631%needs 53% to break even | 16%–52% | 22 points shortwon 31%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 7 of 2035%needs 53% to break even | 20%–53% | 18 points shortwon 35%, needs 53% |
Games like tonight
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Dallas Goedert over 39.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 39.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 39.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  CAR | 61 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  JAX | 38 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  TEN | 4 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  WSH | 77 | +37.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 |  SF | 33 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  BUF | 8 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | WSH | 32 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  LV | 70 | +30.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  LAC | 78 | +38.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  CHI | 27 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  DAL | 20 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 |  DET | 24 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  GB | 43 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  NYG | 28 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  MIN | 18 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | NYG | 110 | +70.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  DEN | 19 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  TB | 37 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  LAR | 33 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | DAL | 44 | +4.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsDallas Goedert · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ETListed questionable |  -121at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.