This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 46% to break even | 27%–86% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 560%needs 46% to break even | 27%–86% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 560%needs 46% to break even | 27%–86% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 46% to break even | 0%–73% | 46 points shortwon 0%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 3 of 475%needs 46% to break even | 36%–94% | 29 points betterwon 75%, needs 46% |
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Passing yards in each game against under 199.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 199.5 passing yardsTanner McKee |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 rushing yardsTanner McKee |
| Every game | 3 of 560%needs 46% to break even | 27%–86% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| 0 |
| +199.5 |
| Won |
| -161at Kalshi |
| 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 62% to break even |
| -26.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -161at Kalshi |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 62% to break even |
| -0.0Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 passing TDsTanner McKee · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 65% to break even | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 passing TDsTanner McKee · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 42% to break even | -20.8Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 rushing yardsTanner McKee · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 43% to break even | -21.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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