This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 49% to break even | 44%–95% | 31 points betterwon 80%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 49% to break even | 35%–81% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 49% to break even | 39%–78% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 49% to break even | 35%–88% | 18 points betterwon 67%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 49% to break even | 24%–61% | 8 points shortwon 41%, needs 49% |
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Passing yards in each game against over 274.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 249.5 passing yardsDak Prescott |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 passing TDsDak Prescott · |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 49% to break even | 32%–64% | 1 points shortwon 48%, needs 49% |
| 258 |
| -16.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 5 | 316 | +41.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 335 | +60.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 276 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 279 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 175 | -99.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 70 | -204.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 307 | +32.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 244 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 294 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 376 | +101.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 320 | +45.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 354 | +79.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 268 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 250 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 188 | -86.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 264 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 261 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 237 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 319 | +44.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 251 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 361 | +86.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 188 | -86.5 | Lost |
| +140at Kalshi |
| 5 of 17· last season29%needs 42% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -27.0Not beating its price |
| Under 274.5 passing yardsDak Prescott · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +109at Kalshi |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even |
| -12.0Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 rushing yardsDak Prescott · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.1Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 rushing yardsDak Prescott · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.8Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 rushing yardsDak Prescott · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even | -24.1Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 passing TDsDak Prescott · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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