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NFLPlayer propPassing yards
Dak Prescott over 249.5 passing yards
Won5 of 5last 5 games · 100%
Best price-175Kalshi
Price needs63.6%wins to break even
Every game17 of 23this season and last
Trend score-8.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 64% to break even | 65%–100% | 36 points betterwon 100%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 64% to break even | 44%–87% | 6 points betterwon 70%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 64% to break even | 59%–92% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 64% to break even | 50%–96% | 20 points betterwon 83%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 12 of 1771%needs 64% to break even | 51%–85% | 7 points betterwon 71%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 17 of 2374%needs 64% to break even | 57%–86% | 10 points betterwon 74%, needs 64% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Dak Prescott over 249.5 passing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Passing yards in each game against over 249.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards | Beat 249.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  GB | 258 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  TB | 316 | +66.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  HOU | 335 | +85.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  BAL | 276 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  WSH | 279 | +29.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  NYG | 175 | -74.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | NYG | 70 | -179.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | WSH | 307 | +57.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  LAC | 244 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  MIN | 294 | +44.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  DET | 376 | +126.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  KC | 320 | +70.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  PHI | 354 | +104.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 |  LV | 268 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  ARI | 250 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  DEN | 188 | -61.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | WSH | 264 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  CAR | 261 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  NYJ | 237 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | GB | 319 | +69.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  CHI | 251 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | NYG | 361 | +111.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | PHI | 188 | -61.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 249.5 passing yardsDak Prescott · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET |  +129at Kalshi | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Dak Prescott in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 passing TDsDak Prescott · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -12.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 9.5 rushing yardsDak Prescott · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 rushing yardsDak Prescott · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even | -24.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 passing TDsDak Prescott · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.