This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 37% to break even | 5%–56% | 17 points shortwon 20%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 37% to break even | 13%–56% | 7 points shortwon 30%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1030%needs 37% to break even | 13%–56% | 7 points shortwon 30%, needs 37% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 37% to break even | 4%–50% | 20 points shortwon 17%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 2 of 450%needs 37% to break even | 18%–82% | 13 points betterwon 50%, needs 37% |
| Every game |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against under 4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 receptionsMalik Nabers · |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 89.5 receiving yardsMalik Nabers |
| 13%–56% |
| 7 points shortwon 30%, needs 37% |
| 5 |
| -0.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 2 | 1 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 4 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 2 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 9 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| -128at DraftKings |
| 4 of 6· this season67%needs 56% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -22.5Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 receptionsMalik Nabers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 41% to break even | -20.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +189at Kalshi |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even |
| -11.5Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 receiving yardsMalik Nabers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 35% to break even | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Over 68.5 receiving yardsMalik Nabers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Under 71.5 receiving yardsMalik Nabers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 3 of 4· last season75%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Over 67.5 receiving yardsMalik Nabers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Over 79.5 receiving yardsMalik Nabers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 43% to break even | -17.0Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsMalik Nabers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 44% to break even | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Over 69.5 receiving yardsMalik Nabers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 54% to break even | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Under 69.5 receiving yardsMalik Nabers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 53% to break even | -21.5Not beating its price |
| Under 79.5 receiving yardsMalik Nabers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 3 of 4· last season75%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.0Not beating its price |
| Over 71.5 receiving yardsMalik Nabers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 52% to break even | -23.4Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 receiving yardsMalik Nabers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 64% to break even | -23.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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