This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 37% to break even | 0%–35% | 37 points shortwon 0%, needs 37% | 33.6receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 50%needs 37% to break even | 0%–35% | 37 points shortwon 0%, needs 37% | 33.6receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 50%needs 37% to break even | 0%–35% | 37 points shortwon 0%, needs 37% | 33.6receiving yards |
| This season | 0 of 50%needs 37% to break even | 0%–35% | 37 points shortwon 0%, needs 37% | 33.6receiving yards |
| Every game | 0 of 50% |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: CAR allows 147.6 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 15th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3). How CAR defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 0%–35% |
| 37 points shortwon 0%, needs 37% |
| 33.6receiving yards |
| -22.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 1 | 36 | -13.5 | Lost |
| +114at Kalshi |
| 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 47% to break even |
| -16.2Not beating its price |
| Under 36.5 receiving yardsTed Hurst III · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -112at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Under 38.5 receiving yardsTed Hurst III · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -114at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsTed Hurst III · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -115at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -13.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +128at FanDuel |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 44% to break even |
| -8.3Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDTed Hurst III · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +313at Kalshi | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 24% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 receptionsTed Hurst III · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +171at DraftKings | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 37% to break even | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsTed Hurst III · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -146at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 59% to break even | -22.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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