This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 5% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 5% to break even | 0%–35% | 5 points shortwon 0%, needs 5% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 5% to break even | 0%–21% | 5 points shortwon 0%, needs 5% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 100%needs 5% to break even | 0%–21% | 5 points shortwon 0%, needs 5% |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 5% to break even | 0%–58% | 5 points shortwon 0%, needs 5% |
| Last season | 0 of 80%needs 5% to break even | 0%–25% | 5 points shortwon 0%, needs 5% |
| Every game | 0 of 100% |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: CAR allows 0.8 touchdowns a game to tight ends, the 6th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.5): an easy matchup for this bet. How CAR defends tight ends
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Payne Durham game, newest first: whether Durham scored a touchdown.
| 0%–21% |
| 5 points shortwon 0%, needs 5% |
| No TD |
| Lost |
| Wk 13 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 10 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
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