This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 5% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 5% to break even | 5%–56% | 15 points betterwon 20%, needs 5% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 5% to break even | 2%–35% | 5 points betterwon 10%, needs 5% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 128%needs 5% to break even | 2%–30% | 4 points betterwon 8%, needs 5% |
| Last season | 1 of 128%needs 5% to break even | 2%–30% | 4 points betterwon 8%, needs 5% |
| Every game | 1 of 128%needs 5% to break even | 2%–30% | 4 points better |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 5 at home. Tonight: TB allows 0.7 touchdowns a game to tight ends, the 8th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.5): an easy matchup for this bet. How TB defends tight ends
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Ja'Tavion Sanders game, newest first: whether Sanders scored a touchdown.
| Wk 12 |
| No TD |
| Lost |
| Wk 11 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 10 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 9 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 8 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 7 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
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