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This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 6% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 6% to break even | 0%–35% | 6 points shortwon 0%, needs 6% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 6% to break even | 7%–46% | 14 points betterwon 20%, needs 6% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1217%needs 6% to break even | 6%–40% | 10 points betterwon 17%, needs 6% |
| Last season | 2 of 1217%needs 6% to break even | 6%–40% | 10 points betterwon 17%, needs 6% |
| Every game | 2 of 1217%needs 6% to break even | 6%–40% | 10 points betterwon 17%, needs 6% |
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every David Sills V game, newest first: whether Sills scored a touchdown.