This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 49% to break even | 27%–73% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 49% to break even | 33%–72% | 5 points betterwon 53%, needs 49% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 49% to break even | 12%–65% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 10 of 1953%needs 49% to break even | 35%–70% | 4 points betterwon 53%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 12 of 2548%needs 49% to break even | 33%–64% | 1 points shortwon 48%, needs 49% |
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against KC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 22 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 21 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 20 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 receptionsCooper Kupp · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -112at BetOnline | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsCooper Kupp · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsCooper Kupp · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 35% to break even | -26.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsCooper Kupp · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 52% to break even | -28.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.